Monday, August 31, 2020

Danger Zones

Violence continues in certain cities, and will get worse as the election gets closer. 

More than 40 fatalities and well over 100 serious injuries have resulted from nationwide attacks and riots. Here is the list of the cities that are have had violent incidents. 

I will attempt to keep this page current.



Zone 1: Violence without aggravating factors
Note that violence has already occurred in zone 1 and may occur again with little to no warning. It would be prudent to watch the local news in these cities and avoid areas where "peaceful protests" are scheduled to take place. 

Alabama: Auburn, Birmingham, Mobile, Montgomery, Huntsville
Arizona: Scottsdale, Phoenix, Tempe
Arkansas: Little Rock, Conway
Connecticut: Hartford
Delaware: Wilmington
Florida: Orlando, Tampa, Jacksonville, Miami, St Petersburg
Georgia: Athens, Savannah, Gainesville
Idaho: Jerome, Boise
Illinois: Springfield,
Indiana: Evansville
Iowa: Kansas City
Louisiana: Lafayette, New Orleans, Baton Rouge
Maine: Portland
Massachusetts: Boston, Brockton, Worchester
Michigan: Lansing, Grand Rapids
Missouri: Kansas City
Nebraska: Lincoln, Beatrice, Grand Island,
Nevada: Reno
New Hampshire: Manchester
New Jersey: Trenton, Atlantic City
North Carolina: Asheville, Charlotte
North Dakota: Fargo
Ohio: Cleveland, Columbus
Oklahoma: Oklahoma City, Tulsa
Pennsylvania: Erie, Pittsburg
Rhode Island: Providence
South Carolina: Columbus, Charleston, Columbia
Texas: San Antonio
Utah: Salt Lake City
Virginia: Richmond
West Virginia: Charleston
Wisconsin: Madison
Wyoming: Jackson, Laramie


Zone 2: Violence with at least one aggravating factor
Zone 2 cites have already seen violence, with local authorities sympathizing or even assisting those committing violent acts. Violence may occur in these cities with little to no warning, and those who employ self defense in these cities can expect to face a hostile or antagonistic response from government authorities. It would be prudent to watch the local news in these cities and avoid areas where "peaceful protests" are scheduled to take place. 

Colorado: Colorado Springs, Fort Collins
Florida: West Palm Beach, Tallahassee
Georgia: Atlanta and suburbs to include Stone Mountain
Kansas: Wichita
Nevada: Las Vegas
New York: Rochester
North Carolina: Raleigh
Pennsylvania: Lancaster
South Dakota: Sioux Falls
Tennessee: Memphis, Nashville (National Guard Troops and state police laid down their riot shields and allowed protesters to enter the Capitol)
Texas: Houston, Dallas
Virginia: Portsmouth


Zone 3: Deadly force used by insurgents in at least one riot

Zone three cities are areas where violent protests and riots have taken place, and the rioters have employed deadly force with little to no attempt at mitigating response from local authorities. At best, any local response is merely token resistance. In these areas, violence is likely to occur in these areas without warning. Additionally, police and/or prosecutors are likely to bring the full weight of the law down upon those who attempt to defend themselves from these actors. 

California: Los Angeles (fatality)
Colorado: Alamosa
Florida: Williston
Georgia: Columbus (fatality)
Iowa: Davenport ( 2 fatalities in an ambush of police)
Maryland: Baltimore 
Michigan: Detroit (fatality)
Nebraska: Omaha (fatality)
New Mexico: Albuquerque (fatality)
Texas: Austin
Washington, DC
Wisconsin: Milwaukee and suburbs

Zone 4: Deadly force resulting in deaths, usually with government  capitulation or support

Zone 4 zones are those where deadly force has been used to kill and/or seriously injure anyone who the insurgents feel are not sufficiently sympathetic or supportive of their goals. Additionally, the local authorities are incapable or unwilling to oppose those who would commit these acts. Anyone in these areas is advised that violence is occurring and will continue to occur in these areas, and for this reason the area should be avoided. 

California: Oakland and San Francisco (2 fatalities)
Colorado: Denver and its suburbs (multiple shootings, fatality)
Illinois: Chicago (3 fatalities)
Indiana: Indianapolis (2 fatalities)
Kentucky: Louisville (fatality)
Missouri: St Louis metro area (2 fatalities)
Minnesota: Minneapolis-Saint Paul (at least 3 fatalities)
New York: New York City ( 3 fatalities)
Pennsylvania: Philadelphia (2 fatalities)
Wisconsin: Kenosha (2 fatalities)

Zone 5: Open warfare with either mutual firefights, or government actively supporting insurgents
Areas in zone 5 are areas that can best be described as active, low intensity combat. There are multiple sides and factions who are fighting for control of these areas. 

Oregon and Washington: The entire Interstate 5 corridor from the Canadian border south to Eugene, Oregon (more than a dozen fatalities)


METHODS

I reviewed protests/riots in nearly 500 US cities, and have compiled this list of cities where the insurgency is most violent.. I cannot guarantee that this list is completely accurate, but every attempt was made to be as accurate as possible. If any of you feel that this list has unfairly added an area, or I need to add an area, feel free to post that in comments.

I am not including "background" crime and violence- the crime that a city has normally. This is a measure of the developing insurgency, not a listing of "ordinary" street crime.

11 comments:

Miguel GFZ said...

Going to disagree with your classification of Miami.

There were 2 small incidents that had a small amount of violence and were suppressed by PD. We have not had any more problems since the second week of June.

Jonathan H said...

I'm surprised you didn't have Columbus Ohio on the list due to the fires set by rioters.

John Fisher said...

Thanks for putting this together.

exile1981 said...

As a Canadian, I'm seeing the same forces stir shit up in the YS starting up here. I'd say Toronto, Ontario is a zone 2 and Vancouver bc and Montreal QU are zobe 1 on the verge of zone 2.

Our BLM is affiliated with AIM the American Indian Movement. Are you seeing similar links in the states?

Exile1971

J- said...

I'm curious about Huntsville. We had one protest and the police made the air spicier than a quality southern hot sauce in about 10 minutes. Haven't had any trouble since then.

Divemedic said...

Any violence gets a city placed in Zone 1, for the simple fact that you have insurgents in your area that are willing to get violent.

Unknown said...

Please add Baltimore in Zone 1 or 2.

We just had this incident:

https://thepostmillennial.com/attack-of-baltimore-man-shared-to-social-media-with-caption-white-lives-do-not-matter

JK of Arkansas said...

Happen upon this post some few days ago but lacking a goo gle (or g-mail) account I couldn't post a couple of links I thought you might find useful.

However my girlfriend does have such an account and as she's only now just available:

https://acleddata.com/special-projects/us-crisis-monitor/

Interestingly (to me) that source's map somewhat resembles another I was earlier familiar with:

https://vividmaps.com/trumpland-and-clinton-archipelago/

The second map is that which I speak of.

Hope you find these useful.

JK of Arkansas

pax said...

How are you defining violence?

JK of Arkansas said...

Well ... not knowing how 'the Pharmacist' would answer that if you'd ask CNN I reckon they'd say "Anything we say it is." Then there's that Acled group I linked above - apparently their opinion is "Whatever the SLPC says it is."

Myself I think I'd go with that shopworn "I don't know how to define it but I know it when I see it."

For instance that map ACLED has on its site showing "violence" having occurred in at least three places in extreme north-central Arkansas - as it happens I've a nephew serving as a state cop liaising with the US Marshals Service, he say's "Weren't no such animal."

And as I'm near dead center west to east of north Arkansas and less than nine miles from the Missouri line and've only resorted to a few firearms for plinking beer cans I reckon I agree there ain't been.

No such animal I intend.

Divemedic said...

@ Pax: great question. I think I will make it the subject of its own post.


https://street-pharmacy.blogspot.com/2020/09/violence-defined.html